18.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 18.5 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 19.0
−0.6 opponent leak — they concede 333/game vs a 344.7 league average
−4.0 at this ground — averages 14.7 there (27 gm)
vs them: averages 14.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackles
333.0per game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At CommBank Stadium14.7(27)-0.4
Everywhere else15.1(24)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)20.0(1)+5.2
Dry games14.8(50)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDJosh Patston18.541+122%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita17.210-42%
08-06GLDAJ Brimson15.920+25%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell17.919+6%
08-06GLDCooper Bai18.510-46%
08-06GLDSam Verrills19.417-13%
07-30SYDRobert Toia19.711-44%
07-25BRIEzra Mam17.018+6%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Luca's. Computed from this app's own records.