12.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.5 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.1
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 180.1/game vs a 186.3 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 10.1 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Runs
180.1per game · league avg 186.3
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium12.5(2)+0.6
Everywhere else11.9(112)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.6(8)-0.3
Dry games11.9(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Runs
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+4%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CRONicho Hynes11.717+45%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun12.516+28%
08-02CROSamuel Stonestreet14.10-100%
08-02CROAddin Fonua-Blake13.217+29%
08-02CROJesse Ramien14.215+5%
07-24MELMoses Leo12.114+16%
07-24MELJahrome Hughes11.313+16%
07-24MELStefano Utoikamanu13.312-9%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Josh's. Computed from this app's own records.