30.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 27.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 36.6
−2.0 opponent leak — they concede 322.1/game vs a 344.7 league average
−8.6 at this ground — averages 22.3 there (6 gm)
vs them: averages 15.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Tackles
322.1per game · league avg 344.7
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium22.3(6)+2.8
Everywhere else19.6(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-16.2
Dry games20.7(42)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Tackles
Avg diff
+2.2
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLKurt Donoghoe26.222-16%
08-08DOLTom Gilbert30.518-41%
07-25NQLCoen Hess24.220-17%
07-25NQLJeremiah Nanai27.526-5%
07-16PENFreddy Lussick28.733+15%
07-16PENMoses Leota24.034+42%
07-16PENLiam Martin26.648+81%
07-16PENLindsay Smith30.034+13%
Similar = season average within ±4.1 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.