30.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 26.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 35.8
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 548.9/game vs a 544.6 league average
−13.8 at this ground — averages 16.2 there (17 gm)
vs them: averages 28.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o26.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
70.8
41
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Jacob 70.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.6
55
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Jacob 1.6/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.1
79
Tacklesfavorable
100
368.1
Jacob 27.1/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
60
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Jacob 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Jacob 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Jacob 0.3/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
50
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Jacob 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
26.3
49
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Jacob 26.3/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob70.8
41
PEN1576.6
25
Jacob 70.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob1.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Post Contact Metres
548.9per game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Go Media Stadium16.2(17)-2.8
Everywhere else19.0(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(2)-15.1
Dry games18.6(42)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+6.1
Avg diff %
+25%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARAli Leiataua29.125-14%
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira24.033+38%
08-01CBRJed Stuart23.531+32%
07-23PARTeancum Brown23.351+119%
07-23PARLuca Moretti22.820-12%
07-23PARSam Tuivaiti30.042+40%
07-16BRIBen Talty24.220-17%
07-16BRIReece Walsh25.729+13%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5