81.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 70.8 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 96.6
+7.3 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−48.3 at this ground — averages 32.8 there (6 gm)
vs them: averages 27.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium32.8(6)-21.5
Everywhere else54.3(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)10.5(2)-42.9
Dry games53.4(42)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-11.7
Avg diff %
-16%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLThomas Flegler80.944-46%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa69.122-68%
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles69.540-42%
08-08DOLFrancis Molo75.721-72%
08-08DOLKurt Donoghoe73.884+14%
08-01NEWSandon Smith71.9128+78%
07-25NQLReuben Cotter79.365-18%
07-25NQLGriffin Neame80.6103+28%
Similar = season average within ±10.6 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.