10.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.1 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.3
+0.9 opponent leak — they concede 590/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 30.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
590.0per game · league avg 544.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium67.0(2)+31.5
Everywhere else35.5(24)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)31.7(3)-7.1
Dry games38.7(23)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.1
Avg diff %
-40%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUAshton Ward8.10-100%
08-08SOUThomas Fletcher7.00-100%
07-11SYDBenaiah Ioelu6.85-26%
07-11SYDDaly Cherry-Evans9.50-100%
07-05MANJamal Fogarty8.75-42%
07-05MANJake Simpkin8.123+186%
07-05MANAaron Schoupp6.70-100%
06-25SOUAshton Ward8.15-38%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Robert's. Computed from this app's own records.