19.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.7 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 22.0
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 351.7/game vs a 344.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 16.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 53 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Tackles
351.7per game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium4.0(3)-13.5
Everywhere else17.5(49)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)10.3(9)-7.8
Dry games18.1(43)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Tackles
Avg diff
-2.5
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIEzra Mam17.016-6%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs15.514-10%
07-31SGIKyle Flanagan18.819+1%
07-31SGILuciano Leilua18.50-100%
07-31SGIDaniel Atkinson18.90-100%
07-19NQLJaxon Purdue17.027+58%
07-19NQLSam McIntyre19.520+3%
07-19NQLJason Taumalolo18.928+48%
Similar = season average within ±2.7 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.