121.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 121.4 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 120.7
+11.7 opponent leak — they concede 1851.3/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−23.0 at this ground — averages 98.1 there (33 gm)
vs them: averages 116.6 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 31 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o121.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Dylanvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
121.4
74
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Dylan 121.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.4
77
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Dylan 2.4/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.5
95
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Dylan 37.5/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
93
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Dylan 0.6/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Dylan 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
87
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Dylan 0.6/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
41
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Dylan 0.3/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
46.9
86
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Dylan 46.9/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Dylan121.4
74
GLD1851.3
94
Dylan 121.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Dylan2.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Run Metres
1851.3per game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium98.1(33)-17.1
Everywhere else115.2(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)120.3(8)+15.3
Dry games105.0(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+32.6
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue121.7156+28%
08-06NQLThomas Mikaele126.3168+33%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki105.0122+16%
08-01WARErin Clark134.9141+5%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.4102-9%
08-01WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad128.8253+96%
08-01WARTanner Stowers-Smith108.9177+62%
07-26SGIValentine Holmes128.6108-16%
Similar = season average within ±18.2 of Dylan's. Computed from this app's own records.