12.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.8 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.4
+1.2 opponent leak — they concede 1851.3/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+22.2 at this ground — averages 34.2 there (57 gm)
vs them: averages 34.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 5: 63 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Phoenixvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
13.8
6
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Phoenix 13.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
7
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Phoenix 0.1/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
43.9
100
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Phoenix 43.9/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
51
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Phoenix 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Phoenix 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
23
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Phoenix 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
15
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Phoenix 0.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.7
3
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Phoenix 1.7/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Phoenix13.8
6
GLD1851.3
94
Phoenix 13.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Phoenix0.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Run Metres
1851.3per game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium34.2(57)+6.3
Everywhere else27.9(66)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)36.8(13)+6.7
Dry games30.1(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+13.6
Avg diff %
+95%
Hit rate
4/6
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26SGILyhkan King-Togia15.952+228%
06-20PENJack Cole15.40-100%
06-06BRICory Paix13.031+138%
04-04BRICory Paix13.027+108%
03-29SGILyhkan King-Togia15.915-5%
03-22NQLKaiden Lahrs15.045+200%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Phoenix's. Computed from this app's own records.