29.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 27.6 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 33.3
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 546.2/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
wet forecast: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 26.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBR concede · Post Contact Metres
546.2per game · league avg 544.2
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At GIO Stadium20.0(2)-10.4
Everywhere else30.4(43)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)31.0(3)+1.1
Dry games29.9(42)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-6.0
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09NEWMat Croker28.116-43%
08-01PENScott Sorensen27.619-31%
08-01PENLindsay Smith30.940+30%
08-01PENLiam Martin29.730+1%
07-25WSTPatrick Herbert27.636+30%
07-25WSTSione Fainu31.632+1%
07-25WSTEthan Roberts30.011-63%
07-25WSTStarford To'a26.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±4.1 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.