18.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 18.4 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 19.6
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 181.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
−0.5 at this ground — averages 18.4 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 19.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Runs
181.6per game · league avg 185.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium18.4(7)+0.7
Everywhere else17.7(100)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)17.8(10)+0.1
Dry games17.7(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Runs
Avg diff
-0.6
Avg diff %
-3%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIJosiah Karapani17.813-27%
07-31SGIClinton Gutherson17.923+29%
07-31SGISetu Tu17.816-10%
07-19NQLMurray Taulagi16.418+10%
07-19NQLScott Drinkwater19.014-26%
07-19NQLBraidon Burns19.519-2%
07-19NQLTom Chester16.515-9%
07-11CROSione Katoa19.121+10%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Greg's. Computed from this app's own records.