184.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 187.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 181.4
−3.7 opponent leak — they concede 1652.5/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+26.6 at this ground — averages 211.6 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 195.6 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Run Metres
1652.5per game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium211.6(7)+28.5
Everywhere else183.1(100)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)168.8(10)-17.8
Dry games186.6(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-1.5
Avg diff %
-1%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIPayne Haas160.8147-9%
07-19NQLTom Chester174.31750%
07-19NQLBraidon Burns185.2203+10%
07-11CROSione Katoa164.7209+27%
07-05NEWDominic Young165.5158-5%
06-20WSTJahream Bula161.2150-7%
06-12SYDNaufahu Whyte169.4178+5%
06-06NQLTom Chester174.3123-29%
Similar = season average within ±28.1 of Greg's. Computed from this app's own records.