29.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 27.4 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 31.4
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 351.8/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 20.6 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Tackles
351.8per game · league avg 344.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Allianz Stadium26.7(3)+7.0
Everywhere else19.7(52)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)11.8(4)-9.0
Dry games20.7(51)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Tackles
Avg diff
-3.3
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARSaxon Pryke27.330+10%
08-08PARKitione Kautoga30.334+12%
08-08PARRyley Smith28.027-4%
08-02CROThomas Hazelton24.618-27%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun30.632+4%
08-02CROBriton Nikora29.121-28%
08-02CROAddin Fonua-Blake24.517-31%
08-02CROBilly Burns29.118-38%
Similar = season average within ±4.1 of Tallyn's. Computed from this app's own records.