6.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 6.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.9
+0.8 opponent leak — they concede 618.4/game vs a 544.2 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 6.7 there (19 gm)
vs them: averages 6.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Post Contact Metres
618.4per game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium6.7(19)+2.0
Everywhere else4.7(36)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(4)-2.3
Dry games5.6(51)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-0.3
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDLachlan Ilias6.30-100%
07-30SYDTaylor Losalu6.00-100%
07-25BRILuke Gale6.00-100%
07-25BRIBilly Walters7.33-59%
07-25BRIAdam Reynolds7.319+161%
07-19DOLBradley Schneider7.617+125%
07-19DOLKodi Nikorima7.19+26%
06-27PENJack Cogger6.64-40%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tallyn's. Computed from this app's own records.