6.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 6.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.9
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 507.7/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 6.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Post Contact Metres
507.7per game · league avg 544.2
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium8.3(3)+3.1
Everywhere else5.3(52)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(4)-2.3
Dry games5.6(51)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+4.7
Avg diff %
+81%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROBraydon Trindall5.820+248%
07-24MELTrent Toelau5.928+373%
07-24MELStanley Huen6.20-100%
07-03PENJack Cogger6.63-55%
06-11BRIAdam Reynolds7.317+133%
06-11BRIAublix Tawha6.50-100%
06-11BRIJosh Rogers5.519+245%
05-24NQLReed Mahoney5.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tallyn's. Computed from this app's own records.