25.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 25.8 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 24.4
−2.0 opponent leak — they concede 503.2/game vs a 545.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 22.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Post Contact Metres
503.2per game · league avg 545.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium17.5(2)-0.2
Everywhere else17.7(53)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games17.7(55)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+6.7
Avg diff %
+25%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROBriton Nikora22.938+66%
08-02CROCameron McInnes27.841+47%
08-02CROBilly Burns26.113-50%
07-24MELAlec MacDonald22.638+68%
07-24MELOryn Keeley27.177+184%
07-18CBRJed Stuart23.522-7%
07-18CBRNoah Martin27.324-12%
07-18CBRMorgan Smithies22.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of Matt's. Computed from this app's own records.