12.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 11.9 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
+2.3 at this ground — averages 14.5 there (55 gm)
vs them: averages 12.9 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium14.5(55)+0.8
Everywhere else13.7(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(3)-1.1
Dry games14.1(119)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
+1.9
Avg diff %
+16%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.711+3%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita11.416+40%
07-30SYDVictor Radley11.511-4%
07-30SYDRobert Toia11.112+9%
07-30SYDSam Walker11.814+18%
07-30SYDSiua Wong12.912-7%
07-25BRIGehamat Shibasaki12.016+33%
07-25BRIKotoni Staggs12.817+33%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Junior's. Computed from this app's own records.