8.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.4 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.4
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 181.1/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 10.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Runs
181.1per game · league avg 185.9
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium6.5(2)-1.0
Everywhere else7.5(20)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(1)+1.7
Dry games7.3(21)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Runs
Avg diff
+1.8
Avg diff %
+21%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARMitchell Moses7.59+21%
08-08PARSam Tuivaiti9.68-17%
08-08PARLuca Moretti8.19+12%
08-02CROBilly Burns8.55-41%
08-02CROBriton Nikora9.218+95%
08-02CROThomas Hazelton9.49-4%
08-02CROSiosifa Talakai7.96-24%
07-24MELOryn Keeley8.519+123%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ronald's. Computed from this app's own records.