124.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 122.3 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 126.8
+7.3 opponent leak — they concede 1785.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+2.4 at this ground — averages 126.4 there (48 gm)
vs them: averages 119.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Run Metres
1785.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium126.4(48)+11.5
Everywhere else115.0(76)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)88.3(4)-32.2
Dry games120.4(120)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Run Metres
Avg diff
+19.2
Avg diff %
+15%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDJojo Fifita118.5176+49%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia126.4118-7%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell108.777-29%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor122.71230%
07-30SYDSiua Wong114.6100-13%
07-30SYDNat Butcher125.9217+72%
07-30SYDRobert Toia107.7135+25%
07-25BRIReece Walsh133.8166+24%
Similar = season average within ±18.3 of Dylan's. Computed from this app's own records.