12.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.0 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.8
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 333/game vs a 344.7 league average
+3.1 at this ground — averages 15.4 there (50 gm)
vs them: averages 13.6 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackles
333.0per game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At CommBank Stadium15.4(50)+0.9
Everywhere else14.5(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(2)-4.0
Dry games15.0(109)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackles
Avg diff
+1.9
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDLachlan Ilias12.10-100%
07-30SYDSalesi Foketi13.725+82%
07-30SYDEgan Butcher12.613+3%
07-25BRIVa'a Semu13.117+30%
07-19DOLFelise Kaufusi13.011-15%
07-12MANJoey Walsh13.825+81%
07-12MANReuben Garrick12.511-12%
07-12MANSimione Laiafi10.815+39%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Will's. Computed from this app's own records.