45.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 47.1 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 44.0
−3.1 opponent leak — they concede 507.7/game vs a 544.2 league average
+0.3 at this ground — averages 46.2 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 42.9 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Post Contact Metres
507.7per game · league avg 544.2
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium46.2(5)+7.0
Everywhere else39.2(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)38.0(2)-1.6
Dry games39.6(109)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-2.5
Avg diff %
-3%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARJack Williams41.762+49%
08-08PARJordan Samrani44.865+45%
08-08PARKitione Kautoga43.954+23%
08-02CROKL Iro52.214-73%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo44.426-41%
08-02CROSione Katoa44.026-41%
08-02CROJesse Ramien43.639-11%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun40.149+22%
Similar = season average within ±7.1 of Will's. Computed from this app's own records.