19.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 18.8 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 19.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
+1.6 at this ground — averages 20.6 there (18 gm)
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium20.6(18)+2.6
Everywhere else18.0(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)26.0(1)+6.9
Dry games19.1(35)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
-1.5
Avg diff %
-7%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-30SYDNaufahu Whyte16.1160%
07-30SYDMark Nawaqanitawase16.719+14%
07-30SYDJames Tedesco19.96-70%
07-25BRIJosiah Karapani17.821+18%
07-19DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow16.620+20%
07-19DOLHerbie Farnworth17.215-13%
07-19DOLSelwyn Cobbo17.514-20%
07-19DOLJamayne Isaako17.016-6%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Isaiah's. Computed from this app's own records.