28.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 30.5 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 24.8
+3.2 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
−1.0 at this ground — averages 27.2 there (6 gm)
vs them: averages 26.7 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o30.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Coenvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
79.3
48
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Coen 79.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
42
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Coen 1.1/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.2
73
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Coen 24.2/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
26
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Coen 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Coen 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
23
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Coen 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
63
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Coen 0.5/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.5
57
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Coen 30.5/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Coen79.3
48
GLD1851.3
94
Coen 79.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Coen1.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium27.2(6)-2.1
Everywhere else29.2(105)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)26.0(7)-3.3
Dry games29.3(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+8.9
Avg diff %
+33%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLZac Laybutt27.441+50%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter33.620-40%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue28.712-58%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame28.931+7%
08-06NQLJohn Bateman26.030+15%
08-01WARJacob Laban26.362+136%
08-01WARAli Leiataua29.147+61%
08-01WARLeka Halasima31.660+90%
Similar = season average within ±4.6 of Coen's. Computed from this app's own records.