8.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.4 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.5
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
+0.8 at this ground — averages 9.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 9.6 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o8.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Griffinvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
80.5
50
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Griffin 80.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
15
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Griffin 0.3/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.4
67
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Griffin 22.4/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Griffin 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Griffin 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Griffin 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
23
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Griffin 0.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.9
54
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Griffin 28.9/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Griffin80.5
50
GLD1851.3
94
Griffin 80.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Griffin0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium9.3(4)-0.4
Everywhere else9.6(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(5)+0.4
Dry games9.6(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+13%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJohn Bateman7.06-14%
08-06NQLCoen Hess7.54-47%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter8.77-20%
08-06NQLJake Clifford8.07-12%
08-01WARJacob Laban8.315+81%
08-01WARAli Leiataua9.813+33%
08-01WARKurt Capewell9.812+22%
08-01WARLeka Halasima9.515+57%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Griffin's. Computed from this app's own records.