102.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 106.1 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 95.8
+10.0 opponent leak — they concede 1851.3/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 91.2 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 188 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o106.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jeremiahvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
106.1
65
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Jeremiah 106.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.9
63
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Jeremiah 1.9/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.5
80
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Jeremiah 27.5/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Jeremiah 0.5/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Jeremiah 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Jeremiah 0.3/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
53
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Jeremiah 0.4/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.9
79
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Jeremiah 41.9/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jeremiah106.1
65
GLD1851.3
94
Jeremiah 106.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jeremiah1.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Run Metres
1851.3per game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium61.3(3)-29.3
Everywhere else90.6(89)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)89.0(6)-0.7
Dry games89.7(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+24.8
Avg diff %
+24%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue121.7156+28%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki105.0122+16%
08-01WARAli Leiataua98.2174+77%
08-01WARTanner Stowers-Smith108.9177+62%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.4102-9%
08-01WARAdam Pompey95.30-100%
07-26SGIHamish Stewart96.6105+9%
07-26SGITyrell Sloan90.4191+111%
Similar = season average within ±15.9 of Jeremiah's. Computed from this app's own records.