55.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 55.4 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 54.5
−4.5 opponent leak — they concede 1550.3/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+7.6 at this ground — averages 62.6 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 66.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Run Metres
1550.3per game · league avg 1686.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium62.6(8)-0.6
Everywhere else63.2(125)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)41.8(8)-22.8
Dry games64.6(125)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Run Metres
Avg diff
+2.8
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans52.149-6%
08-07SYDSalesi Foketi52.552-1%
07-31MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown49.434-31%
07-31MELTyran Wishart60.986+41%
07-31MELHayden Watson56.3114+102%
07-31MELAlec MacDonald60.369+15%
07-31MELShawn Blore58.50-100%
07-25WARWayde Egan49.758+17%
Similar = season average within ±8.3 of Reece's. Computed from this app's own records.