152.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 153.7 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 150.4
+14.8 opponent leak — they concede 1851.3/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−19.6 at this ground — averages 132.8 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 139.7 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 13: 243 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o153.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Murrayvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
153.7
90
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Murray 153.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
69
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Murray 2.1/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.1
23
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Murray 6.1/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Murray 0.7/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Murray 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
89
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Murray 0.6/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
70
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Murray 0.6/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
53.7
93
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Murray 53.7/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Murray153.7
90
GLD1851.3
94
Murray 153.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Murray2.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Run Metres
1851.3per game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium132.8(5)-14.3
Everywhere else147.1(109)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)136.7(6)-10.3
Dry games147.0(108)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+15.5
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo154.3165+7%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater149.9177+18%
08-06NQLTom Chester174.3211+21%
08-01WARErin Clark134.9141+5%
08-01WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak151.6224+48%
08-01WARMitchell Barnett148.7146-2%
08-01WARJames Fisher-Harris143.897-33%
07-26SGIClinton Gutherson151.1171+13%
Similar = season average within ±23.1 of Murray's. Computed from this app's own records.