13.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.5 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.3
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 186.3 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 13.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaxonvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
121.7
74
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Jaxon 121.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Jaxon 2.5/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.0
52
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Jaxon 17.0/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
76
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Jaxon 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Jaxon 0.5/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
90
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Jaxon 0.7/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
70
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Jaxon 0.6/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.7
53
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Jaxon 28.7/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Jaxon121.7
74
GLD1851.3
94
Jaxon 121.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Jaxon2.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 186.3
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium10.5(2)-0.7
Everywhere else11.2(54)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(3)-0.2
Dry games11.2(53)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLThomas Mikaele12.513+4%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo13.712-12%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.89-24%
08-01WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.823+66%
08-01WARTanner Stowers-Smith11.516+39%
08-01WARErin Clark14.616+10%
08-01WARAdam Pompey11.50-100%
07-26SGIValentine Holmes13.710-27%
Similar = season average within ±2.0 of Jaxon's. Computed from this app's own records.