5.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.9
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 340/game vs a 344.7 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 6.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 11.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
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Splits · o5.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Braidonvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
185.2
97
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Braidon 185.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.9
98
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Braidon 4.9/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.4
18
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Braidon 5.4/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Braidon 0.8/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
45
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Braidon 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
97
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Braidon 1.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Braidon 1.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
63.8
98
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Braidon 63.8/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Braidon185.2
97
GLD1851.3
94
Braidon 185.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Braidon4.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Tackles
340.0per game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At Cbus Super Stadium6.3(4)-2.2
Everywhere else8.5(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)11.3(4)+3.1
Dry games8.2(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Tackles
Avg diff
-1.0
Avg diff %
-15%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater5.93-49%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi6.18+31%
08-06NQLEthan King4.37+65%
08-01WARRiley Price6.060%
08-01WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak4.22-52%
08-01WARLuke Metcalf5.60-100%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira4.67+51%
07-26SGIClinton Gutherson6.12-67%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Braidon's. Computed from this app's own records.