64.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 63.8 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 66.5
+7.1 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 545.7 league average
−15.4 at this ground — averages 49.5 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 62.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o63.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Braidonvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
185.2
98
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Braidon 185.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.9
98
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Braidon 4.9/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.4
19
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Braidon 5.4/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Braidon 0.8/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
45
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Braidon 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
97
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Braidon 1.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Braidon 1.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
63.8
98
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Braidon 63.8/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Braidon185.2
98
GLD1851.3
94
Braidon 185.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Braidon4.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium49.5(4)+5.2
Everywhere else44.3(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)51.5(4)+7.3
Dry games44.2(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+5.1
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo61.060-2%
08-01WARMitchell Barnett56.060+7%
08-01WARJames Fisher-Harris54.437-32%
07-26SGIToby Couchman56.255-2%
07-19MANTaniela Paseka60.542-31%
06-20PENDylan Edwards56.699+75%
06-14WSTTerrell May55.372+30%
06-06BRIPayne Haas70.987+23%
Similar = season average within ±9.6 of Braidon's. Computed from this app's own records.