22.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 23.1 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 20.2
+2.4 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 545.7 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 22.7 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 23.9 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o23.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Scottvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
149.9
88
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Scott 149.9/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
89
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Scott 3.3/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.9
21
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Scott 5.9/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
85
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Scott 0.4/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
97
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Scott 0.9/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Scott 0.3/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
91
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Scott 1.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
23.1
44
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Scott 23.1/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Scott149.9
88
GLD1851.3
94
Scott 149.9/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Scott3.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium22.7(7)
Everywhere else22.7(134)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)13.7(7)-9.4
Dry games23.2(134)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+10.1
Avg diff %
+43%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJohn Bateman26.030+15%
08-01WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava21.881+271%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira24.010-58%
08-01WARJacob Laban26.362+136%
07-26SGIEmre Guler22.40-100%
07-19MANEthan Bullemor24.742+70%
07-12MELAlec MacDonald22.647+108%
07-12MELHayden Watson23.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.5 of Scott's. Computed from this app's own records.