123.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 117.3 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 131.9
−2.6 opponent leak — they concede 1652.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−47.7 at this ground — averages 75.4 there (16 gm)
vs them: averages 88.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o117.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 14.5°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 10.1 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Claytonvs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
117.3
72
Run Metresneutral
38
1652.5
Clayton 117.3/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.6
79
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Clayton 2.6/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.8
21
Tacklesneutral
69
351.7
Clayton 5.8/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
89
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Clayton 0.5/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
91
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Clayton 0.6/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
88
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Clayton 0.6/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
41
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Clayton 0.3/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
34.7
65
Post Contact Metresneutral
44
539.6
Clayton 34.7/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.6
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Clayton117.3
72
DOL1652.5
38
Clayton 117.3/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Clayton2.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Run Metres
1652.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At 4 Pines Park75.4(16)+6.3
Everywhere else69.1(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-76.5
Dry games76.5(32)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-5.2
Avg diff %
-3%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIPatrick Carrigan127.186-32%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs118.489-25%
08-08BRIXavier Willison124.6140+12%
08-08BRIJordan Riki108.9112+3%
08-08BRIDeine Mariner134.893-31%
08-08BRIReece Walsh133.897-28%
07-31SGIRyan Couchman130.5188+44%
07-31SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga101.9133+31%
Similar = season average within ±17.6 of Clayton's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown96.5