112.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 115.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 107.9
−11.1 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−38.4 at this ground — averages 74 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 82.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium74.0(4)-3.2
Everywhere else77.2(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)77.5(6)+0.5
Dry games77.0(89)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-35.1
Avg diff %
-34%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYMax King125.292-27%
08-07CBYSitili Tupouniua106.127-75%
08-07CBYLachlan Galvin117.6101-14%
08-07CBYMatt Burton126.1145+15%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton100.224-76%
08-07CBYLeo Thompson116.6119+2%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama121.9125+3%
08-07CBYBronson Xerri100.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±17.3 of Ben's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown96.5