25.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 25.1 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 26.1
−0.6 opponent leak — they concede 336.7/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
+3.4 wet forecast — averages 28.9 in the wet (9 gm)
vs them: averages 25.1 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 5: 6 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o25.5
Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 11°C☂ 1.9mm (100%)🌬 15.4 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Haumolevs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
174.5
97
Run Metresneutral
50
1679.1
Haumole 174.5/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.6
100
Tackle Breaksneutral
50
32.8
Haumole 6.6/game
MEL concedes 32.8/game · league avg 32.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
25.1
76
Tacklesunfavorable
25
336.7
Haumole 25.1/game
MEL concedes 336.7/game · league avg 344.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
87
Triesneutral
56
4.5
Haumole 0.5/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
79
Try Assistsfavorable
63
3.6
Haumole 0.3/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
92
Line Breaksfavorable
88
6.4
Haumole 0.7/game
MEL concedes 6.4/game · league avg 5.1
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
82
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Haumole 0.8/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
78.9
100
Post Contact Metresfavorable
69
563.0
Haumole 78.9/game
MEL concedes 563.0/game · league avg 544.6
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Haumole174.5
97
MEL1679.1
50
Haumole 174.5/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Haumole6.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Tackles
336.7per game · league avg 344.7
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At HBF Park27.0(1)+1.5
Everywhere else25.5(118)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)28.9(9)+3.6
Dry games25.3(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MEL · Tackles
Avg diff
+2.5
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MANJamal Fogarty21.731+43%
08-08MANTaniela Paseka24.79-63%
08-08MANBrandon Wakeham25.136+44%
07-31CBYViliame Kikau22.821-8%
07-31CBYLachlan Galvin23.228+21%
07-31CBYHarry Hayes28.521-26%
07-24SOULachlan Hubner23.234+47%
07-24SOUTevita Tatola25.034+36%
Similar = season average within ±3.8 of Haumole's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown19.5