14.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 14.1 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.9
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 181.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
−2.1 at this ground — averages 12.3 there (48 gm)
vs them: averages 8.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o14.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.1°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jasonvs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
135.2
83
Run Metresneutral
38
1652.5
Jason 135.2/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
54
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Jason 1.5/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.7
16
Tacklesneutral
69
351.7
Jason 4.7/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
93
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Jason 0.6/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Jason 0.2/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
93
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Jason 0.7/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
16
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Jason 0.1/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
39.9
75
Post Contact Metresneutral
44
539.6
Jason 39.9/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.6
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jason135.2
83
DOL1652.5
38
Jason 135.2/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jason1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Runs
181.6per game · league avg 185.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At 4 Pines Park12.3(48)+1.2
Everywhere else11.1(70)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.9(8)-0.8
Dry games11.6(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Runs
Avg diff
-2.9
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIPatrick Carrigan15.310-35%
08-08BRIGehamat Shibasaki12.02-83%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs12.89-29%
08-08BRIPayne Haas15.114-7%
08-08BRIXavier Willison13.315+13%
08-08BRIDeine Mariner12.68-37%
08-08BRIReece Walsh15.39-41%
07-31SGIRyan Couchman14.120+42%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Jason's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5