17.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.5 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 18.0
+0.8 opponent leak — they concede 194.8/game vs a 185.9 league average
−3.9 at this ground — averages 13.8 there (57 gm)
vs them: averages 16.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
194.8per game · league avg 185.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium13.8(57)-1.0
Everywhere else14.8(42)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(11)
Dry games14.3(88)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
-1.3
Avg diff %
-8%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLJack Bostock18.016-11%
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth17.216-7%
08-08DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki15.0150%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako17.012-29%
08-08DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow16.616-4%
08-01NEWGreg Marzhew18.520+8%
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga19.619-3%
08-01NEWDominic Young15.813-18%
Similar = season average within ±2.6 of Selwyn's. Computed from this app's own records.