Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
12.7+5.2 · line-ball
16.2 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
−1.3 opponent leak — they concede 1550.3/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−2.2 at this ground — averages 14 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 10.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 15: 75 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Run Metres
1550.3per game · league avg 1686.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium14.0(13)-5.8
Everywhere else19.8(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)29.0(1)+11.1
Dry games17.9(45)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Run Metres
Avg diff
+5.9
Avg diff %
+56%
Hit rate
1/2
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
05-30WSTCharlie Murray5.90-100%
05-15CROJayden Berrell8.326+212%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Zach's. Computed from this app's own records.