31.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 31.9 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 30.4
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 548.9/game vs a 544.2 league average
−9.2 at this ground — averages 22.1 there (19 gm)
vs them: averages 14.4 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o31.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tainevs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
146.6
87
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Taine 146.6/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.2
95
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Taine 4.2/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.1
11
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Taine 4.1/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
54
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Taine 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
73
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Taine 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
84
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Taine 0.5/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
37
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Taine 0.2/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.9
60
Post Contact Metresneutral
56
548.9
Taine 31.9/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Taine146.6
87
PEN1576.6
25
Taine 146.6/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Taine4.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Post Contact Metres
548.9per game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Go Media Stadium22.1(19)-0.6
Everywhere else22.7(43)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)23.7(3)+1.2
Dry games22.5(59)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+3.9
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARAli Leiataua29.125-14%
08-07WARLeka Halasima31.673+131%
08-07WARKurt Capewell36.241+13%
08-07WARAdam Pompey33.70-100%
08-01CBRZac Hosking35.045+29%
08-01CBRXavier Savage32.426-20%
07-23PARKelma Tuilagi36.347+30%
07-23PARJosh Addo-Carr35.344+25%
Similar = season average within ±4.8 of Taine's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5