32.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 29.2 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 36.1
+4.3 opponent leak — they concede 1914.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o29.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tukuvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
29.2
14
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Tuku 29.2/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
9
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Tuku 0.2/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.2
12
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Tuku 4.2/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Tuku 0.2/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.0
26
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Tuku 14.0/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tuku29.2
14
SGI1914.7
100
Tuku 29.2/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Tuku0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1914.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else42.4(27)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)-36.8
Dry games43.8(26)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-2.9
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26GLDLachlan Ilias32.70-100%
06-28CBROwen Pattie30.23-90%
06-28CBRJayden Brailey30.668+122%
06-19NEWHarrison Graham33.415-55%
05-31BRIBen Hunt25.345+78%
05-17PENJack Cogger33.138+15%
05-17PENFreddy Lussick26.70-100%
04-18SOUPeter Mamouzelos33.453+59%
Similar = season average within ±4.4 of Tuku's. Computed from this app's own records.