10.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.3 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 11.5
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 196.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 10.2 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o10.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Cameronvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
79.3
48
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Cameron 79.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
36
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Cameron 0.9/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
34.6
91
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Cameron 34.6/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Cameron 0.0/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Cameron 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Cameron 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
31
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Cameron 0.2/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.8
52
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Cameron 27.8/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Cameron79.3
48
SGI1925.5
100
Cameron 79.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Cameron0.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Runs
196.2per game · league avg 185.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else12.6(108)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)12.0(7)-0.7
Dry games12.7(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Runs
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-1%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
07-31DOLConnelly Lemuelu11.613+13%
07-31DOLTom Gilbert11.514+21%
07-26GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.716+50%
07-26GLDJojo Fifita11.49-21%
07-26GLDJayden Campbell9.48-15%
07-18WARTe Maire Martin11.210-11%
07-18WARKurt Capewell9.89-8%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Cameron's. Computed from this app's own records.