5.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.8 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.9
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 345.9/game vs a 344.7 league average
vs them: averages 5.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
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Splits · o5.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Samuelvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
120.9
74
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
Samuel 120.9/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
52
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Samuel 1.5/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.8
21
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Samuel 5.8/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
71
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
62
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Samuel 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
64
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
45
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.9
64
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Samuel 33.9/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Samuel120.9
74
SGI1925.5
100
Samuel 120.9/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Samuel1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tackles
345.9per game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else4.9(32)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)-3.0
Dry games5.0(31)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Tackles
Avg diff
-1.1
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo4.72-58%
07-31DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow6.14-34%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako4.34-7%
07-26GLDJaylan De Groot4.89+88%
07-18WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira4.64-14%
07-04WSTCharlie Murray5.60-100%
07-04WSTJahream Bula5.36+13%
06-28CBRXavier Savage4.42-55%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Samuel's. Computed from this app's own records.