16.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 15.4 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 16.9
−1.6 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+12.9 at this ground — averages 28.9 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 30.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 18: 120 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium28.9(8)-12.1
Everywhere else41.0(23)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)52.3(3)+16.0
Dry games36.3(28)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-7.1
Avg diff %
-53%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYBailey Hayward16.642+153%
07-30NQLKaiden Lahrs15.00-100%
07-24NEWPhoenix Crossland13.80-100%
07-17MELStanley Huen15.512-23%
06-26BRIJosh Rogers13.30-100%
06-05CBRVena Patuki-Case15.30-100%
05-02BRIJosh Rogers13.30-100%
04-19NEWPhoenix Crossland13.86-57%
Similar = season average within ±2.3 of Jack's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5