132.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 130.5 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 135.5
−14.6 opponent leak — they concede 1504.1/game vs a 1690.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 51.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o130.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Ryanvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
130.5
80
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Ryan 130.5/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
81
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Ryan 2.7/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
43.5
99
Tacklesfavorable
69
352.1
Ryan 43.5/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
33
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Ryan 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Ryan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Ryan 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.7
97
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Ryan 1.7/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
49.3
88
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Ryan 49.3/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Ryan130.5
80
CRO1504.1
0
Ryan 130.5/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ryan2.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Run Metres
1504.1per game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium129.3(3)+54.9
Everywhere else74.5(30)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)50.0(1)-30.4
Dry games80.4(32)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Run Metres
Avg diff
-42.5
Avg diff %
-33%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJye Gray116.4100-14%
08-02SOUAlex Johnston134.676-44%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola114.4108-6%
07-26MANTaniela Paseka133.392-31%
07-26MANReuben Garrick130.6106-19%
07-26MANJason Saab136.992-33%
07-26MANBen Trbojevic115.443-63%
07-17NEWBradman Best139.264-54%
Similar = season average within ±19.6 of Ryan's. Computed from this app's own records.