22.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.6 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 22.9
+0.5 opponent leak — they concede 352.1/game vs a 344.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 37.0 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o22.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
33.4
17
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Jacob 0.6/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.6
69
Tacklesneutral
69
352.1
Jacob 22.6/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
58
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Jacob 0.2/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
37
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Jacob 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
65
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Jacob 0.5/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.4
16
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Jacob 8.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob33.4
17
CRO1504.1
0
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
352.1per game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium22.7(3)-11.0
Everywhere else33.7(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)40.6(8)+7.8
Dry games32.8(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+5.2
Avg diff %
+22%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUSean Keppie21.821-4%
08-02SOUBrandon Smith22.727+19%
08-02SOUJamie Humphreys24.325+3%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola24.635+42%
08-02SOULachlan Hubner22.836+58%
07-26MANTaniela Paseka25.526+2%
07-26MANHaumole Olakau'atu24.933+32%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty21.226+23%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.