8.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.4 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.2
−1.3 opponent leak — they concede 466.4/game vs a 545.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 9.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o8.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
33.4
17
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Jacob 0.6/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.6
69
Tacklesneutral
69
352.1
Jacob 22.6/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
58
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Jacob 0.2/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
37
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Jacob 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
65
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Jacob 0.5/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.4
16
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Jacob 8.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob33.4
17
CRO1504.1
0
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Post Contact Metres
466.4per game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium9.0(3)-3.3
Everywhere else12.3(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)14.0(8)+1.9
Dry games12.1(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.4
Avg diff %
-38%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUAshton Ward8.83-66%
08-02SOUAdam Elliott8.212+46%
08-02SOUThomas Fletcher8.40-100%
07-26MANJake Simpkin8.311+32%
07-26MANBlake Wilson8.10-100%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty8.53-65%
07-17NEWSandon Smith9.80-100%
07-17NEWHarrison Graham8.312+45%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.