28.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 28.4 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 28.7
+0.8 opponent leak — they concede 354.8/game vs a 344.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 25.3 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 14: 6 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o28.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaydnvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
117.0
72
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
60
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Jaydn 1.8/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.4
81
Tacklesfavorable
88
354.8
Jaydn 28.4/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Jaydn 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jaydn 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Jaydn 0.3/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
99
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Jaydn 2.8/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.5
78
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Jaydn 41.5/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jaydn117.0
72
CRO1511.1
0
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jaydn1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
354.8per game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium30.0(1)+3.2
Everywhere else26.8(102)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)30.0(10)+3.5
Dry games26.5(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+6.2
Avg diff %
+24%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga26.439+48%
08-09SGIJacob Liddle25.456+120%
08-09SGIJacob Webster30.0300%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola25.035+40%
08-02SOUKeaon Koloamatangi31.435+11%
07-26MANBen Trbojevic27.115-45%
07-26MANKobe Hetherington24.828+13%
07-26MANTaniela Paseka24.726+5%
Similar = season average within ±4.3 of Jaydn's. Computed from this app's own records.