7.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.9 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.9
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 176.5/game vs a 185.9 league average
+1.3 at this ground — averages 9.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 12.8 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o9.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lucianovs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
91.9
57
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Luciano 91.9/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.9
64
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Luciano 1.9/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.5
57
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Luciano 18.5/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
45
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Luciano 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Luciano 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
51
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Luciano 0.2/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
67
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Luciano 0.6/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.4
70
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Luciano 37.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Luciano91.9
57
CRO1504.1
0
Luciano 91.9/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Luciano1.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.5per game · league avg 185.9
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium9.3(4)-1.9
Everywhere else11.1(114)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.3(6)-0.8
Dry games11.1(112)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
-1.0
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt9.614+46%
08-02SOUAshton Ward9.07-22%
08-02SOUCody Walker9.59-6%
08-02SOULachlan Hubner9.310+7%
07-26MANKobe Hetherington9.29-2%
07-17NEWTyson Frizell9.49-4%
07-17NEWMat Croker10.010+1%
07-17NEWSandon Smith10.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luciano's. Computed from this app's own records.