20.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.6 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 16.8
−2.8 opponent leak — they concede 469.6/game vs a 544.2 league average
−5.1 at this ground — averages 15.2 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 31.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o22.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Emrevs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
62.7
37
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Emre 62.7/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
22
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Emre 0.6/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.8
69
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Emre 22.8/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Emre 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Emre 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.7
Emre 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
57
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Emre 0.4/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.6
41
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Emre 22.6/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Emre62.7
37
CRO1511.1
0
Emre 62.7/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Emre0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Post Contact Metres
469.6per game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium15.2(5)-15.3
Everywhere else30.5(102)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)25.6(7)-4.5
Dry games30.1(100)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.4
Avg diff %
-3%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan20.838+83%
08-02SOULachlan Hubner26.018-31%
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt22.237+67%
08-02SOUSean Keppie24.319-22%
07-26MANJake Trbojevic19.819-4%
07-26MANEthan Bullemor24.78-68%
07-11DOLMorgan Knowles24.417-30%
07-04BRIGrant Anderson20.816-23%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Emre's. Computed from this app's own records.