5.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 6.7 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.6
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 176.5/game vs a 185.9 league average
−2.4 at this ground — averages 3.5 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 9.7 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o6.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (62%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Emrevs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
61.6
37
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Emre 61.6/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
23
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Emre 0.6/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.4
68
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Emre 22.4/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Emre 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Emre 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Emre 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
56
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Emre 0.4/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.4
42
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Emre 22.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Emre61.6
37
CRO1504.1
0
Emre 61.6/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Emre0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.5per game · league avg 185.9
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium3.5(4)-5.4
Everywhere else8.9(102)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.1(7)-0.6
Dry games8.7(99)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
-2.4
Avg diff %
-34%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUBrandon Smith5.33-44%
08-02SOUSean Keppie8.06-25%
07-26MANJake Trbojevic6.85-26%
07-26MANJoey Walsh6.98+17%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty6.62-69%
07-17NEWBrodie Jones6.05-17%
07-17NEWLachlan Crouch6.86-12%
07-17NEWFletcher Hunt7.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Emre's. Computed from this app's own records.