5.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.9 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.5
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 176.5/game vs a 186.3 league average
−0.0 at this ground — averages 5.8 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 8.4 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o5.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Damienvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
57.3
33
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Damien 57.3/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
54
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Damien 1.5/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
39.4
97
Tacklesfavorable
69
352.1
Damien 39.4/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
42
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Damien 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Damien 0.2/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Damien 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
30
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Damien 0.2/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.1
26
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Damien 14.1/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Damien57.3
33
CRO1504.1
0
Damien 57.3/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Damien1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.5per game · league avg 186.3
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium5.8(4)-1.9
Everywhere else7.7(132)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.6(12)+1.1
Dry games7.5(124)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJohn Radel4.79+91%
08-02SOUBrandon Smith5.43-44%
08-02SOUJamie Humphreys5.22-62%
07-26MANSimione Laiafi4.710+113%
07-26MANJosh Feledy5.48+49%
07-26MANJoey Walsh6.38+27%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty6.52-69%
07-26MANJake Trbojevic6.65-24%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Damien's. Computed from this app's own records.